Buffett’s 2022 sale of TSMC citing geopolitical risks was premature, with the stock up 400% since, but current valuations (P/E 25x) and Taiwan’s exposure to China-related risks remain concerns. With $70 billion in capex straining free cash flow and potential oversupply in 5nm nodes by 2026, TSMC faces a 10-15% correction risk, suggesting investors wait for a better entry point.



